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Decision and Policy Analysis Research Area – DAPA

Panorama Andino: Climate Change Impacts on Andean Agriculture

After the good news earlier this week on the approval of one of what will likely be a flagship project for DAPA (the Site-Specific Agriculture project for Fruit Cultivation, by ASOHOFRUCOL), we were noticed yesterday on the approval of a new project under the Panorama Andino framework, financed by the Comunidad Andina and in collaboration with CONDESAN. Our component in the project will assess the impacts of climate change on Andean Agricultural systems, but we will work together with CONDESAN, and other partners in two dimensions: risks and adaptation and in three different components:

  1. Biodiversity and ecosystems, led by the Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina (Lima, Peru) on risks and Finding Species on adaptation
  2. Water resources, led by Imperial College London on risks and CONDESAN on adaptation
  3. Agricultural systems, led by CIAT-DAPA on risks and CONDESAN on adaptation

Plus two transversal themes: (1) state of the art on the responses and actions to climate change, and (2) policy and institutional framework. Bert de Bievre (CONDESAN), Francisco Cuesta (CONDESAN), Manuel Peralvo (CONDESAN), Wouter Buytaert (Imperial College London), Carlos Arnillas (Universidad Agraria La Molina), and DAPA’s Julian Ramirez, Andy Jarvis and Emmanuel Zapata will participate in the whole Panorama Andino project, each with a different role within the project.

At DAPA, we will assess the impacts of climate change on the most important Andean agricultural systems, under two emission scenarios (SRES-A2 and SRES-A1B), and for two specific periods (2030 and 2050). Twenty-five different agricultural systems will be analyzed using multi-scale approaches, involving both biophysical and economic impacts of climate change.  Potatoes, onions, coffee, cassava, beans, among other major and minor crops (e.g. quinoa) will be analyzed to inform the best-bet adaptation strategies in the Andean mountain chain. A brief presentation (in spanish), made by Julian Ramirez during a planning meeting in Lima, describes our expected contributions to the project:

A major report and peer reviewed publications, as well as a book on the results, and an online platform to disseminate and feedback our research are part of the outputs we are expecting to have as a whole. We will keep you posted.

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